LS Growth Playbook

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Prepared for Leor Sapir · Manhattan Institute

The Social Media Growth Playbook for a Policy Thought Leader

A research-backed, platform-specific guide to turning your scholarly expertise into a dominant social media presence—on X and Instagram—without a podcast.

45.3K Current X Followers
10.9K Posts on X
253K Top Post Views

Part One

Strategic Foundation

Before tactics come principles. These are the positioning decisions that make everything else work.

1

Define Your Content Pillars

Every post you create should map to one of 3–4 core pillars. This creates a clear brand and gives followers a reason to stay.

  • Pillar 1 — Gender Medicine & Pediatric Policy: Your primary lane. Deep analysis, new study breakdowns, regulatory updates, responses to WHO/AAP actions. This is what your 45K followers came for.
  • Pillar 2 — Institutional Dysfunction: Broader analysis of how institutions (medical boards, universities, government agencies) fail the public. This extends your authority beyond a single issue.
  • Pillar 3 — Behind the Research: How you find information, what your research process looks like, what surprised you, the human side of policy work. This builds personal connection.
  • Pillar 4 — Policy in the Real World: Commentary on court rulings, legislative testimony, amicus briefs—connecting your academic work to real consequences for real people.
2

Your Unique Positioning

What makes your voice distinct in a crowded policy landscape.

  • Credentialed Skeptic: PhD from Boston College, post-doc at Harvard, published in peer-reviewed journals. You're not a pundit—you're a researcher who can read studies and explain why the methodologies are flawed.
  • Institutional Insider: Manhattan Institute fellow with a City Journal column. You have access and platforms most independent commentators don't.
  • International Perspective: Your background (University of Haifa, lecturing in India) gives you a comparative lens on how different countries handle these issues—the Cass Review, Nordic reversals, etc.
  • Bridge Builder: You write for open-minded people, not just the already-convinced. Lean into this. It's a massive strategic advantage.

The 2026 Algorithm Reality

In January 2026, Grok took over X's ranking algorithm. Two things changed significantly: sentiment analysis now influences distribution (constructive content gets boosted; purely combative content gets throttled), and replies are weighted more heavily than likes—a post with 20 replies outperforms one with 100 likes and no conversation. This rewards exactly the kind of evidence-based, discussion-provoking content you produce.


Part Two

Mastering X (Twitter)

You already have a strong base at 45K followers. Here's how to accelerate growth and maximize the impact of every post.

X Algorithm

How the Algorithm Decides Who Sees Your Posts

Understanding these signals lets you structure every post for maximum distribution.

30 min Critical engagement window
Reply weight vs. likes
10× Native video boost vs. text
80/20 Value vs. promotional ratio
Content Formats

High-Performing Post Types for Policy Researchers

  1. 1

    The "Study Breakdown" Thread (3–6 Posts)

    Take a new study, court ruling, or regulatory action and break it into a short thread. Lead with the most surprising finding. Mega-threads are dead—keep it tight. End with a question to spark replies.

  2. 2

    The Contrarian Take

    A single, well-reasoned post that challenges prevailing wisdom—with evidence. "Most people think X. But if you actually read the data..." This is your superpower. Use it 2–3 times per week.

  3. 3

    The "I Read It So You Don't Have To" Post

    Summarize a dense report, amicus brief, or regulatory document in plain language. Enormous value-add. Screenshot a key passage with your annotation.

  4. 4

    The Response Post

    Quote-tweet or reply to a prominent figure in your space with a factual correction or additional context. Not rage-bait—genuine engagement with evidence. This borrows their audience.

  5. 5

    The "Here's What I'm Watching" Post

    Flag upcoming hearings, decisions, or publications before they happen. Positions you as the go-to source. Follow up when the event occurs.

  6. 6

    Native Video Clips (60–90s)

    Record yourself explaining a single point directly to camera. No production needed—phone, decent lighting, speak for 60 seconds. These get 10× the reach of text-only posts on X in 2026.

Example — Study Breakdown Thread

Post 1/4: "A new paper in [Journal] claims [finding]. I read the full study. The methodology has a serious problem most people will miss. Here's what's actually going on. [thread emoji]"

Post 2/4: "[Explains the specific methodological issue in plain language, with a screenshot of the relevant table or passage]"

Post 3/4: "[Why this matters for policy—connects the data to real-world consequences]"

Post 4/4: "What do you think—does this change your view of [specific policy]? Genuinely curious what people in [medicine/law/etc.] think."

Growth Engine

The Reply Strategy — Your #1 Growth Lever

Replying to larger accounts with genuine insight is the single most effective growth tactic on X in 2026. A thoughtful reply to a high-profile account can generate 12K+ impressions vs. 400 for a standalone post.

Daily Engagement Routine (30 min)

  • Reply to 3–5 posts from accounts with 100K+ followers in your niche
  • Add a fact, a nuance, or a polite correction—never just agree
  • Reply to 5–10 posts from accounts in the 10K–50K range
  • Respond to every meaningful reply on your own posts within 2 hours
  • Quote-tweet one piece of content from a peer with added context

Who to Engage With

  • Other Manhattan Institute fellows and City Journal authors
  • Journalists covering gender medicine (Jesse Singal, etc.)
  • International researchers (Cass Review team, Nordic clinicians)
  • Lawyers and judges discussing relevant cases
  • Medical professionals engaging with the evidence
  • Open-minded academics who engage respectfully
Posting Cadence

Recommended X Posting Volume

At 45K followers, aim for this cadence. Consistency beats bursts.

5–8 Original posts daily
15–30 Replies daily
2–3 Threads per week
3–5 Video clips per week

What to Avoid on X

  • Pure rage-bait: Grok's sentiment analysis now throttles combative content. Critique with data, not venom.
  • Long mega-threads (10+ posts): Engagement drops sharply after post 6. Keep threads to 3–6 posts max.
  • Linking out without context: Bare links get suppressed. Always add your own analysis above the link.
  • Going dark for days: The algorithm punishes inconsistency. Even on slow days, post 2–3 replies and a quick observation.
  • Engaging with bad-faith trolls: It trains the algorithm to show you to that audience. Block, don't argue.

Part Three

Building Instagram from Scratch

Instagram is a different audience—more visual, more casual, more discovery-oriented. Here's how to build it as a policy researcher.

Instagram 2026

Algorithm Priorities You Need to Know

Instagram's algorithm in 2026 rewards human-centered, shareable content. The era of faceless slideshows is over.

35% Of IG screen time is Reels
2.25× More reach for Reels vs. photos
3–5 Reels per week for growth
3 sec Hook window before drop-off

The #1 Instagram Signal: Shares

In 2026, shares and DM sends are the most influential signal for reaching non-followers. This means your content should be "send this to someone" worthy. For a policy researcher, that means: surprising facts, clear data visualizations, and "I can't believe this is real" document excerpts.

Content Mix

What to Post on Instagram

  1. 1

    Talking-Head Reels (60–90 seconds)

    Your primary format. Record yourself explaining one surprising finding or policy development directly to camera. Face-in-frame increases retention by 35%. Use your own voice—original audio gets algorithmic preference in 2026. No studio needed; a phone with natural light and a clean background is enough.

  2. 2

    Carousel "Swipe and Learn" Posts (5–8 slides)

    Break a complex topic into visual slides. Slide 1: bold hook statement. Slides 2–7: one idea per slide with key data. Last slide: call to action or question. Carousels get 12% higher engagement than Reels and 1.36× more reach than static photos.

  3. 3

    Document Excerpts & Data Visualizations

    Screenshot a damning paragraph from a study, highlight it, and add your 2-sentence annotation. Or create a simple chart showing a trend. This is highly shareable content for policy audiences.

  4. 4

    "Behind the Research" Stories

    Use Instagram Stories for real-time updates: reading a new study, preparing for testimony, attending a conference. This builds personal connection. Use polls and question stickers to drive engagement.

  5. 5

    Short-Form "Did You Know?" Reels (15–30 seconds)

    A single surprising stat or fact with text overlay. "Did you know that [European country] banned [procedure] for minors in [year] while the U.S. still..." Quick, shareable, builds awareness.

Example — Talking Head Reel Script (70 seconds)

Hook (0–3s): "Most Americans don't know this, but five European countries have now reversed course on youth gender medicine."

Body (3–55s): [Explain what happened, why, and what the evidence showed—conversational tone, not lecture-mode. Reference the Cass Review or specific studies.]

Close (55–70s): "The question is: why hasn't the U.S. followed? I wrote about this for City Journal—link in bio. What do you think?"

IG Growth Tactics

How to Grow When Starting from Zero

Bootstrapping Your First 1,000 Followers

  • Cross-promote from X: "I'm now on Instagram—follow for more visual breakdowns of the research I cover here"
  • Share every new IG post to your Instagram Story immediately (algorithm boost)
  • Use 3–5 specific hashtags (not generic ones)—e.g., #GenderMedicine #MedicalEthics #PolicyResearch
  • Respond to every comment within 30–60 minutes of posting
  • Add always-on captions/subtitles to Reels (38% retention boost)
  • Use the "Trial Reels" feature to test content with non-followers first

What NOT to Do on Instagram

  • Don't repost TikTok-watermarked content—Instagram's 2026 "Originality Score" penalizes it
  • Don't stuff 20+ hashtags; posts with no hashtags outperform hashtag-heavy posts by 23%
  • Don't post without a hook in the first 1.5 seconds
  • Don't use stock photos—the algorithm and your audience reward authenticity
  • Don't go longer than 3 minutes on any single Reel
Recommended Weekly Mix

Instagram Posting Schedule

3–4 Reels per week
2–3 Carousels per week
1–2 Static posts per week
Daily Stories (even just reposts)

Part Four

Creating Video Content Without a Podcast

You don't need a podcast to create compelling video. Here are the formats that work for researchers, and the minimal setup required.

1

The Solo Commentary

Record yourself for 60–90 seconds discussing a breaking development or new study. One idea per clip. Look at the camera. Speak conversationally, not like you're reading a paper. This single format, done consistently, will build your video presence faster than anything else.

2

The Document Review

Screen-record yourself scrolling through a study, court filing, or regulatory document with a voiceover highlighting the key passages. "Let me show you what's actually in this report..." This is incredibly effective for your niche.

3

The "Two Things" Format

A 30–60 second reel where you hold up two fingers and say "Two things about [topic]." Forced brevity. Highly engaging. Works on both X and Instagram.

4

The Reaction Clip

Film your genuine reaction reading a new headline, study result, or policy announcement for the first time. Authenticity is magnetic. "I just read this and I have to talk about it..."

5

The Whiteboard Explainer

Stand at a whiteboard (or use a digital equivalent) and draw a simple diagram explaining a concept. "Here's why the U.S. and Europe are going in opposite directions on this." Visual + expert = extremely shareable.

6

Guest Interviews on Your Phone

You don't need a podcast to interview someone. Record a 5-minute Zoom or FaceTime conversation with a colleague, then clip the best 60–90 seconds. Tag the guest. Cross-pollinate audiences.

Minimal Video Setup (Seriously, That's All You Need)

Equipment

  • Camera: Your iPhone or Android (front-facing camera is fine)
  • Audio: Apple EarPods or a $20 lavalier mic (audio quality matters more than video)
  • Lighting: Face a window. Natural light is better than most ring lights
  • Background: Bookshelf, office, or plain wall. Avoid clutter
  • Tripod: A $15 phone tripod or stack of books

Recording Tips

  • Record in vertical (9:16) for Reels and X video
  • Look at the camera lens, not the screen
  • Start talking immediately—no "hey guys" preamble
  • Keep each clip to ONE idea. Record multiple clips in one sitting
  • Batch-record: 30 minutes of filming = 5–8 clips for the week

Part Five

The Content Repurposing Engine

One idea, multiple formats. This is how you stay visible across platforms without doubling your workload. Researchers who repurpose see a 40% increase in total content output with roughly the same effort.

The Repurposing Cascade

Start with one "anchor" piece and cascade it into 8–12 social media assets.

  • Anchor: A City Journal article, Hill op-ed, or amicus brief you authored.
  • → X Thread: Distill the 3–5 key arguments into a short thread (4–6 posts).
  • → Solo Video: Record yourself explaining the core thesis in 60–90 seconds. Post natively on both X and IG Reels.
  • → IG Carousel: Pull the strongest data points and quotes into a 5–8 slide carousel.
  • → Screenshot Post: Screenshot the most striking paragraph, highlight it, add a 1-sentence annotation. Post on both X and IG.
  • → "Did You Know?" Reel: Take one surprising stat from the piece and make a 15–30 second Reel.
  • → Quote Graphic: Pull your strongest quote, overlay it on a clean graphic. Post to IG feed and Story.
  • → Follow-Up Post: 2–3 days later, post a single observation about how people responded or what was missed.
Example — One City Journal Article Becomes 10 Posts

Total: 10 pieces of content from one article. And each feels native to its platform.

Podcast Appearances = Free Content Gold

You don't need your own podcast, but you should aggressively clip your guest appearances. When you're on Andrew Sullivan's show, Wesley Yang's Year Zero, or any other podcast, ask the host for permission to clip 60–90 second segments. Each appearance should yield 3–5 clips. Post them as native video on both X and Instagram Reels. Tag the host. This is some of the highest-performing content for researchers because the conversational format feels natural.


Part Six

The Weekly Content Schedule

A realistic, sustainable cadence for a working researcher. This assumes roughly 45–60 minutes per day on content creation and engagement.

Day X (Twitter) Instagram Engagement
Monday Contrarian take post + 2–3 quote tweets X Carousel post (topic from last week's research) IG 30 min reply session on X
Tuesday Thread (3–5 posts) on a new study or development X Talking-head Reel (same topic as thread) IG Respond to thread replies; IG comments
Wednesday Document screenshot + annotation; 2–3 standalone observations X "Did you know?" short Reel IG Engage with 5 larger accounts in niche
Thursday Video clip (solo commentary, 60–90s) posted natively Both Same video posted as Reel IG 30 min reply session on X
Friday "Here's what I'm watching next week" post X Quote graphic or highlight from the week IG Respond to accumulated IG DMs & comments
Saturday 2–3 casual observations or retweets with commentary X Story: share something personal or behind-the-scenes IG Light engagement only
Sunday Optional: one reflective or personal post X Plan and batch-record next week's video clips (30 min) Prep Review analytics; note what performed

The Non-Negotiable: Never Go Silent

The single biggest killer of social media growth is inconsistency. Most accounts that stall do so because the creator stopped posting for a week. If you're traveling, at a conference, or swamped with a deadline, at minimum:


Part Seven

Recommended Tools

These tools remove friction from the creation process so you can focus on ideas, not production.

Video Editing

Descript

Text-based video editing. Transcribes your video, then you edit by editing the text. Removes "ums," auto-generates captions. Studio Sound feature fixes bad audio. Best tool for researchers making talking-head content.

Video Editing

CapCut

Free, powerful mobile editor. Auto-captions, trending templates, professional transitions. Perfect for quick Reels editing on your phone between meetings.

Auto-Clipping

Vizard.ai

Upload a long-form video (podcast appearance, lecture) and it auto-clips the best moments into short-form Reels. Scene detection, auto-captioning, smart framing.

X Scheduling

Typefully

Purpose-built for X/Twitter. Write threads, schedule posts, track analytics. Draft all your weekly posts in one sitting on Sunday and schedule them out.

Cross-Platform

Buffer

Schedule posts across X, Instagram, and LinkedIn from one dashboard. Good for maintaining consistency when you're too busy for real-time posting.

Carousel Design

Canva

Create IG carousels, quote graphics, and data visualizations without design skills. Use the "Instagram Carousel" template, keep fonts consistent, and build a brand look.

Analytics

X Premium Analytics

X Premium (Blue) gives you detailed post analytics and higher distribution. Worth the cost for serious creators. Track which formats and topics generate the most engagement.

Teleprompter

PromptSmart Pro

Phone teleprompter app that scrolls as you speak. Helps you stay on point during video recordings without memorizing a script. Keeps your eyes near the camera lens.


Part Eight

90-Day Growth Roadmap

A phased approach that builds momentum without overwhelm. Start where you are and layer on complexity.

Weeks 1–3: Foundation

Lock In the System

  • Set up Instagram profile: professional photo, clear bio ("Senior Fellow @ManhattanInst | PhD | Gender medicine, institutional dysfunction, policy | Research & analysis"), link to City Journal author page
  • Cross-promote from X: announce your IG, pin the announcement
  • Establish posting rhythm: 3 X posts + 15 replies per day; 3 IG posts per week
  • Record your first batch of 5 talking-head clips (one 30-minute filming session)
  • Install Descript or CapCut and learn the 3 features you actually need (trim, captions, export)
  • Set up Typefully or Buffer for scheduling
Weeks 4–6: Build Rhythm

Establish Consistency & Test Formats

  • Increase X output to 5–8 posts + 20 replies daily
  • Test all 5 IG content types (talking-head, carousel, document screenshot, short reel, stories) and track what resonates
  • Start repurposing every City Journal article through the cascade framework
  • Begin clipping any podcast appearances (get host permission for clips)
  • Engage daily with 5 accounts larger than yours in the policy/medicine space
  • IG target: 500–1,000 followers
Weeks 7–9: Amplify

Double Down on What Works

  • Review analytics: which formats get the most engagement on each platform? Do more of those
  • Start proactively pitching yourself for podcast appearances (aim for 1–2/month)
  • Record a "Document Review" video—screen-record + voiceover of a study or ruling
  • Experiment with IG collaborations: tag other researchers, create "duet"-style response Reels
  • Create a running Google Doc of content ideas so you never face the blank-page problem
  • IG target: 1,500–3,000 followers
Weeks 10–12: Compound

Scale What's Working

  • You should now have a clear sense of your top 2–3 formats. Make these the backbone of your schedule
  • Consider launching a Substack or newsletter that collects your weekly analysis (another distribution channel, and you own the list)
  • Seek out debate/discussion formats: recorded conversations with peers, response videos to other researchers
  • Revisit your content pillars—are they still right? Adjust based on audience response
  • IG target: 3,000–5,000+ followers (with compounding growth from shares and Reels discovery)
  • X target: 55,000–60,000+ followers (from increased video + engagement strategy)

Part Nine

Guiding Principles

Keep these on a sticky note. Every content decision should pass through this filter.

I

Credibility Is Your Moat

Never sacrifice accuracy for engagement. Your value is that you're a researcher who reads the actual studies. Every time you post something carefully sourced, you differentiate yourself from pundits. This compounds over years.

II

Consistency Beats Virality

A steady 5 posts/day for 90 days beats one viral thread followed by two weeks of silence. The algorithm rewards accounts that show up daily. Your followers learn to expect you. Consistency is the strategy.

III

Write for the Persuadable

Your stated goal is writing for "open-minded people." This is a massive strategic advantage. Most commentators talk to their base. You talk to the middle. That's a larger, underserved audience—and institutions notice.

IV

Every Post Is a Door

Someone seeing your content for the first time should understand who you are, what you do, and why they should care within 5 seconds. Pin your best thread. Write a clear bio. Every post stands alone.

V

Video Is Not Optional

Native video gets 10× the reach of text on X and dominates Instagram. You don't need production quality—you need to show your face, speak clearly, and share one insight. Start now. Get comfortable over time.

VI

Engage More Than You Broadcast

The reply strategy isn't a side tactic—it's the primary growth engine. Spend more time engaging with others than creating original posts. This is where relationships, visibility, and algorithmic favor are built.